live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog



Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Louisiana Lafayette

Conference:SB
Expected RPI:157.0
Current RPI:157
Expected SOS:169
Current Record:15-14
Expected Record:15-14
Current Conf Record:13-9
Expected Conf Record:13-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-3
Current OOC Record:2-5
Expected OOC Record:2-5
Expected OOC RPI:250
Expected OOC SOS:156


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
15-1451.72%157.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Louisiana Lafayette.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16Miami FL (9.0)ACCA93-77L0%0.0
11-20Alabama (73.0)SECA105-93L0%0.0
12-3Louisiana Monroe (95.0)SBA81-70L0%0.0
12-9McNeese St. (341.0)SlndH97-64W100%0.0
12-12Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAA91-79L0%0.0
12-15UCLA (102.0)P12A89-80L0%0.0
12-18Pepperdine (129.0)WCCA79-59L0%0.0
12-21New Orleans (343.0)SlndH79-69W100%0.0
1-2Appalachian St. (259.0)SBH79-58W100%0.0
1-7Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBA77-57L0%0.0
1-9Arkansas St. (285.0)SBA71-69L0%0.0
1-14Georgia Southern (243.0)SBA65-74W100%0.0
1-16Georgia St. (180.0)SBA54-87W100%0.0
1-21South Alabama (240.0)SBH92-82W100%0.0
1-23Troy (293.0)SBH88-65W100%0.0
1-28Texas St. (238.0)SBH80-54W100%0.0
1-30UT Arlington (105.0)SBH90-75W100%0.0
2-2Louisiana Monroe (95.0)SBH72-65W100%0.0
2-4Appalachian St. (259.0)SBA76-87W100%0.0
2-11Arkansas St. (285.0)SBH83-73W100%0.0
2-13Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBH64-68L0%0.0
2-18UT Arlington (105.0)SBA84-83L0%0.0
2-20Texas St. (238.0)SBA61-57L0%0.0
2-25Troy (293.0)SBA63-73W100%0.0
2-27South Alabama (240.0)SBA83-70L0%0.0
3-3Georgia St. (180.0)SBH69-72L0%0.0
3-5Georgia Southern (243.0)SBH87-78W100%0.0
3-11South Alabama (240.0)SBN90-68W100%0.0
3-12Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBN72-65L0%0.0